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Zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank: If necessary, the interest rate can be greatly reduced. zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank, said that if economic development requires it, the interest rate cut may be increased. Although zaks thinks that the gradual approach is appropriate, he warns that the impact of geopolitics and war may bring "new impetus" to inflation. Kazakhstan said in a blog post on Friday: "If necessary, this range can be greater than 0.25%." "The current method-analysis/decision based on data and each meeting-is very suitable for this situation." Zaks also said that the future trend of interest rates is also very clear, that is, downward. The neutral interest rate is closer to 2% than 3%, so it is still necessary to cut interest rates sharply.Barclays: The Central Economic Work Conference released more signals of policy support, which was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The Barclays research team said that the Central Economic Work Conference provided more forward-looking guidance and released more policy support signals. Barclays said that on the whole, the meeting made it clear that "stable economic growth should be maintained next year" and emphasized "implementing more active macro policies" and "vigorously boosting consumption". The agency believes that regulators are more likely to introduce policies in a gradual manner. At the same time, when measuring the rhythm, scale and composition of the next round of measures, we should focus on the development and changes of real estate and stock market. Barclays expects that a more specific financial plan will be announced in March next year. In terms of monetary policy, the meeting proposed to implement a "moderately loose monetary policy". Barclays believes that this change in wording and position has released a positive signal, especially considering the current environment, it is expected that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the future. (SSE)Saudi institutions are optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology. Ekta Torani, chief investment officer of Saudi KBW Venture Capital Company, recently said in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates that with the increasingly close economic and trade ties between the Gulf region and China, the institution is optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology.

Shen Wanhongyuan: "Vigorously boosting consumption" is the first task of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Shen Wanhongyuan released a research opinion saying that in this Central Economic Work Conference, it can be seen that boosting consumption has once again become the top priority in 2025. The "two innovations" and "two heavyweights" in 2024 are important points of economic work. "Two Innovations" means to promote a new round of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and "Two Innovations" means to implement major national strategies and build safety capacity in key areas, and continue to pay attention to the efforts of fiscal policies including extra-long special national debt in this field.During the policy landing period, the market may become a structural market, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks. On December 13, the Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) closed down by 1.93%, with a turnover of 35.7287 million yuan. Puyin International pointed out that next year, before the two sessions next year, it will enter the policy landing period, and more detailed policies will be gradually implemented. The superimposed overseas uncertainty may increase with Trump's coming to power, so we expect the market to present a structural market. Based on the profit growth rate, capital stock, liquidity and market sentiment, the overall performance of A shares may be more stable than that of overseas Chinese shares. Investment trading strategy suggests both offensive and defensive. When the market sentiment improves and the stock index rebounds, it is expected that the high beta sector, such as non-bank finance, optional and mandatory consumption, real estate and other sectors and individual stocks may be more elastic. When the market sentiment is low and the stock index fluctuates downward, funds may prefer more defensive sectors, such as telecommunications services. There are many high-quality and high-interest stocks in the defensive sector. There is still room for the Bank of China to cut interest rates further next year, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks.Stock index futures continued to fall, and the main contract of SSE 50 Stock Index Futures (IH) fell by 2.00% in the day, and now it is reported at 2,653.6 points. The main contract of CSI 500 stock index futures (IC) fell by 2.00% in the day and is now reported at 5976.8 points.

Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Wuzhou Spring today bought 101 million yuan and sold 140 million yuan on Shanghai Stock Connect. Wuzhou Spring today traded at a daily limit, with a turnover of 4.335 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 35.76%. After-hours data showed that Ningbo Sangtian Road mat bought 77.1945 million yuan, and Shanghai Stock Connect special seats bought 101 million yuan and sold 140 million yuan.